Central Ohio Remains on Track to Reach 3 Million People by 2050
Based on the most recent data from the Mid-Ohio Regional Planning Commission, Central Ohio continues to grow – making up an increasingly large share of both the state’s and nation’s populations.
Chief among the projections from the most recent modeling is that the 15-county region continues to be on track to reach 3 million residents by 2050, compared to 2.2 million residents in 2010. This translates to nearly 1.2 million households and 1.5 million jobs in 2050.
MORPC’s model accounts for long-term, stable trends over time – such as declining birth rates – while accounting for unpredictable short-term factors that impact growth – such as changing immigration policies or a pandemic. It is guided by the concept that long-term population growth generally follows cyclical patterns that can be informed by past trends.
The region’s natural increase – births minus deaths – slowly and steadily declined, making growth increasingly reliant on attracting people to Central Ohio from around the country and internationally. The 2010s was the first decade when as much growth came from migration as from births.
With the expected growth, recent private and public efforts show Central Ohio has a need to prioritize development of housing, develop new options for transportation, and improve development patterns to encourage a better quality of life. This is emphasized by insight2050, which showed the benefits of focused growth as a way to improve economic and social well-being while meeting new market demands as demographics and people’s preferences change – and also by the One Columbus vision, which aims to ensure growth helps Central Ohio to be the most prosperous region in the United States.
An information sheet on the 2018-2050 Population Growth Projections can be viewed here.